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Post by drocklee27 on Feb 8, 2014 15:08:04 GMT -5
Looks good, but I have an issue with the amount of games you predict that Yankees will win. 92? I get that the BoSox won the WS a season after they finished last, but the Yankees infield consists of Kelly Johnson, Derek Jeter, Brendan Ryan, and Mark Teixeira. Granted, McCann is a supreme upgrade offensively over Cervelli and Stewart, but their bullpen has not been upgraded as much as it has been and their starting rotation is unpredictable. Sabathia has been poor the last few seasons, Nova has been inconsistent, Pineda hasn't pitched for two seasons, Kuroda is aging, Phelps was inconsistent as well. I definitely think that their team has improved, no doubt. They added Beltran and Ellsbury to replace Cano's offensive ability and they have Jeter and Tex back healthy, but I don't feel they'll have more wins than the WS champs, barring injuries. We still don't know how Tanaka will fare in the MLB, much less the AL EAST. The Yankees 2014 season could either be a boom or a bust. i based the yanks top finish on a few things: tanaka will win 12 games, teixera will go 20/95, we will see 90% of the jeter before his injury and upgraded production form the top of the lineup with ells and brett. howver, if the 2 speed guys at the top of the rotation doesnt work out, i predict a yanks-reds swap of phillips and gardener although that has been rumored for a bit. i also see them dumping ichiro to another team or possibly keeping him for the replacement of gardner. maybe ichiro for a reliever? I also took into consideration that 1, the red sox were pretty lucky last year and i dont see the same result this year. 2, the orioles are a worse team than last year based on their offseason so far. 3, the rays are most likely going to trade david price or continuing playing 500ish. And finally 4, the blue jays have yet to make a big splash although i see them doing something soon. Phillips for Gardner? That's an awful deal for the Yankees. If they were going to trade Gardner, they would have done it during the offseason, when his value was at its highest. If they do trade Gardner, it will be on or close to the trade deadline, and it won't be to the Reds. The Bronx Bombers can get a better and cheaper player than Phillips for Gardner. |
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Post by drocklee27 on Feb 8, 2014 15:09:11 GMT -5
Also I don't think Tex will do that well. He's still coming back from injury. Yes, he's had a full offseason to recover but we won't know how he's going to perform. I could see him getting 15-17 HR's and 80-87 RBI's at the most.
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Post by PhilliesPhan28 on Feb 8, 2014 15:13:36 GMT -5
Looks good, but I have an issue with the amount of games you predict that Yankees will win. 92? I get that the BoSox won the WS a season after they finished last, but the Yankees infield consists of Kelly Johnson, Derek Jeter, Brendan Ryan, and Mark Teixeira. Granted, McCann is a supreme upgrade offensively over Cervelli and Stewart, but their bullpen has not been upgraded as much as it has been and their starting rotation is unpredictable. Sabathia has been poor the last few seasons, Nova has been inconsistent, Pineda hasn't pitched for two seasons, Kuroda is aging, Phelps was inconsistent as well. I definitely think that their team has improved, no doubt. They added Beltran and Ellsbury to replace Cano's offensive ability and they have Jeter and Tex back healthy, but I don't feel they'll have more wins than the WS champs, barring injuries. We still don't know how Tanaka will fare in the MLB, much less the AL EAST. The Yankees 2014 season could either be a boom or a bust. i based the yanks top finish on a few things: tanaka will win 12 games, teixera will go 20/95, we will see 90% of the jeter before his injury and upgraded production form the top of the lineup with ells and brett. howver, if the 2 speed guys at the top of the rotation doesnt work out, i predict a yanks-reds swap of phillips and gardener although that has been rumored for a bit. i also see them dumping ichiro to another team or possibly keeping him for the replacement of gardner. maybe ichiro for a reliever? I also took into consideration that 1, the red sox were pretty lucky last year and i dont see the same result this year. 2, the orioles are a worse team than last year based on their offseason so far. 3, the rays are most likely going to trade david price or continuing playing 500ish. And finally 4, the blue jays have yet to make a big splash although i see them doing something soon. Phillips-Gardner isn't going to happen because the Yankees don't want it to, the Reds already offered it and it was declined so I doubt they go for the same offer twice (If the Yankees accepted it I probably would've moved them far up in my predictions). Now I may feature some New England bias in me but I don't know how anyone could see a team is lucky to win a World Series in the fashion they did, Cherington got great consistent players that will be there next year too, and Koji showed he could dominant at an old age so they don't have a closing problem like they've had the past 2-3 years. Also the Price trade rumors have seemingly died down since the beginning the offseason but still I don't see anyway the Yankees could beat the Red Sox or Rays in the standings. |
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tim28
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Post by tim28 on Feb 8, 2014 15:15:00 GMT -5
I think a key for the reds will be Billy Hamilton. We know he can run. What we need is him to get on base. He won't be as effective if he keeps coming off the bench.
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Post by leeobrien on Feb 8, 2014 15:50:32 GMT -5
Reds will need to hit better with runners in scoring position
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Post by gregbrotz951 on Feb 8, 2014 15:52:50 GMT -5
No offense but I think the Rangers to the World Series is pretty far fetched. They're going to have a tonight time even getting out of their division with Oakland and the Angels. I know the first thing that comes the mind when you think of the Angels is how big of bust they have been lately, but if they sign another decent starting picture they could really be a sleeper team for this year.
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Post by gregbrotz951 on Feb 8, 2014 15:53:32 GMT -5
No offense but I think the Rangers to the World Series is pretty far fetched. They're going to have a tonight time even getting out of their division with Oakland and the Angels. I know the first thing that comes the mind when you think of the Angels is how big of bust they have been lately, but if they sign another decent starting picture they could really be a sleeper team for this year. *tough time |
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Post by drocklee27 on Feb 8, 2014 16:04:00 GMT -5
Reds will need to hit better with runners in scoring position Rangers need help with that as well. Too many Kinsler pop outs and MY GIDP's the past few seasons with RISP. |
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Post by billwill11 on Feb 8, 2014 16:39:56 GMT -5
Another upside to the Reds is there consistent pitching. In 2012 they used the least amount of pitchers in all of the majors, in 2013 they were close to the top if not 1st.
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Post by gregbrotz951 on Feb 8, 2014 16:53:41 GMT -5
Another upside to the Reds is there consistent pitching. In 2012 they used the least amount of pitchers in all of the majors, in 2013 they were close to the top if not 1st. You could also make the case that that's not sustainable though. The injury bug is bound to hit them sometime. Not saying it's not a good point but I'm just saying you could use that as a counterpoint too. I'm pretty sure the only SP in their rotation thats sustained a semi-major injury in the last 2 years is Cueto. |
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Post by billwill11 on Feb 8, 2014 17:57:11 GMT -5
Another upside to the Reds is there consistent pitching. In 2012 they used the least amount of pitchers in all of the majors, in 2013 they were close to the top if not 1st. You could also make the case that that's not sustainable though. The injury bug is bound to hit them sometime. Not saying it's not a good point but I'm just saying you could use that as a counterpoint too. I'm pretty sure the only SP in their rotation thats sustained a semi-major injury in the last 2 years is Cueto. I see your point but its more positive than negative. Clearly their pitching coach is doing something right, at least better than the Jays pitching coaches. Over the last 2 years I cant even count how many pitchers have gone down with shoulder, elbow or arm injuries and many have resulted in tommy john. Drabek, Hutchison, McGowan just to name a few. Sooner or later you have to take a look at what those coaches are doing. |
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Post by gregbrotz951 on Feb 8, 2014 18:27:36 GMT -5
You could also make the case that that's not sustainable though. The injury bug is bound to hit them sometime. Not saying it's not a good point but I'm just saying you could use that as a counterpoint too. I'm pretty sure the only SP in their rotation thats sustained a semi-major injury in the last 2 years is Cueto. I see your point but its more positive than negative. Clearly their pitching coach is doing something right, at least better than the Jays pitching coaches. Over the last 2 years I cant even count how many pitchers have gone down with shoulder, elbow or arm injuries and many have resulted in tommy john. Drabek, Hutchison, McGowan just to name a few. Sooner or later you have to take a look at what those coaches are doing. Mechanics is a big reason a lot of guys are getting tommy john now days. If you have the so called "inverted W" in your motion you're putting a ton of stress on your elbow, which ultimately leads to TJ. Strasburg is a great example of this, as when his right and left elbow get way behind his back it's putting tremendous amounts of stress on his elbow. |
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Post by billwill11 on Feb 8, 2014 19:09:53 GMT -5
Yes the coach isn't the one pitching but maybe he's suggesting a new pitch or a new technique that isn't sotting right with the pitchers arm. I will have to take a closer look at that inverted w thing you were talking about.
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Post by drocklee27 on Feb 8, 2014 19:18:14 GMT -5
You could also make the case that that's not sustainable though. The injury bug is bound to hit them sometime. Not saying it's not a good point but I'm just saying you could use that as a counterpoint too. I'm pretty sure the only SP in their rotation thats sustained a semi-major injury in the last 2 years is Cueto. I see your point but its more positive than negative. Clearly their pitching coach is doing something right, at least better than the Jays pitching coaches. Over the last 2 years I cant even count how many pitchers have gone down with shoulder, elbow or arm injuries and many have resulted in tommy john. Drabek, Hutchison, McGowan just to name a few. Sooner or later you have to take a look at what those coaches are doing. Well Bryan Price--the new Reds manager--was formerly their pitching coach so we'll be able to see how this plays out. Also Bud Black (former pitcher and pitching coach) with his pitchers in San Diego, only major pitcher injury the past 2 seasons for the Padres that I can recall has been Luebke. |
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Post by Deleted on Feb 9, 2014 10:50:09 GMT -5
The Rays will be better than orioles and redsoxs dued horrible predictions
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